US stock market outlook: US stock market predictions: No Santa Claus rally this time; How will New York Stock Exchange, Wall Street perform?

US stock market outlook: US stock market predictions: No Santa Claus rally this time; How will New York Stock Exchange, Wall Street perform?

US stock market main indexes had a tepid time at the fag end of December as the Wall Street is hoping to usher in New Year 2025 in a more fruitful manner. New York Stock Exchange investors will look to January 20 inauguration of President-elect Donald Trump and subsequent policymaking of the President.S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones will also shift speculation regarding the path of Fed policy in the coming year.

“There’s no Santa Claus rally this week, but investors received the gift of gains in 2024,” said Greg Bassuk, chief executive officer at AXS Investments in New York. “2024 was a massive year for equity gains driven by a trifecta of the AI explosion, a slew of Fed interest rate cuts and a robust U.S. economy. It sets the stage for continued strength heading into 2025,” Bassuk added.

Stocks tend to do well in the last five trading days of December and into the first two days of January, a phenomenon dubbed the Santa Claus rally.

For 2024, the tech-focused Nasdaq surged nearly 30 per cent, while the bellwether S&P 500 notched more than a 23 per cent gain, marking the index’s best two-year run since 1997-1998. The blue-chip Dow posted a near 13 per cent advance for the year.


Looking ahead to 2025, financial markets are now pricing in about 50 basis points of additional interest rate cuts from the Fed, with investors eying stretched valuations and uncertainties surrounding tax and tariff policies from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump.”Investors should be cautious regarding the impact of the incoming Trump administration and how that affects certain sectors,” Bassuk said, adding that “the instability driven by geopolitics, specifically the Russia/Ukraine war and continued strife in the Middle East could trigger consternation” in companies and sectors with ties to the affected regions.Bassuk believes the AI boom still has room to grow. “Valuations have become lofty amid the stock run up, but because we believe that the growth in AI is set to continue and move beyond hardware to software in a massive way across most sectors,” he added.

Concerns about the pace of US interest rate cuts and uncertainty over President-elect Donald Trump’s trade and tariff agenda could cloud the outlook. However, Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers believed “there’s a lot of optimism about the coming year.”

FAQs

Q1. Which are US Stock Market indexes?
A1. The US Stock Market indexes are S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones.

Q2. How have S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Dow Jones performed in 2024?
A2. For 2024, the tech-focused Nasdaq surged nearly 30 per cent, while the bellwether S&P 500 notched more than a 23 per cent gain, marking the index’s best two-year run since 1997-1998. The blue-chip Dow posted a near 13 per cent advance for the year.

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